Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquin Buckley vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record37-9-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'5"
76"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nursulton Ruziboev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1727
If they win+13→ 1740
If they lose-11→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
37%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
59%
Strike defense
49%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.75
45%
Takedown accuracy
67%
72%
Takedown defense
33%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joaquin BuckleyNursulton Ruziboev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
0 (0%)
Submission
21 (57%)
6 (29%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joaquin Buckley and Nursulton Ruziboev within a point of even.

Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1727, a 28-point edge.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.