Joaquin Buckley vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-8-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
76"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin BuckleyVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Buckley56%
Vicente Luque 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 56% favorite over Vicente Luque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1707, a 48-point edge.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.