Joaquin Garcia vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach72"
175 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin GarciaJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Garcia84%
Josh Quinlan 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Garcia a 84% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1545), separated by just 3 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joaquin Garcia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.