Joaquin Garcia vs Jozef Wittner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
175 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Top Team Kosice
What's at stake
Joaquin Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jozef Wittner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1571
If they lose-25→ 1523
If they win+17→ 1550
If they lose-15→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin GarciaJozef Wittner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jozef Wittner54%
Joaquin Garcia 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 54% favorite over Joaquin Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joaquin Garcia's way (48%).
Joaquin Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1533, a 15-point edge.
Jozef Wittner enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Joaquin Garcia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jozef Wittner 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.