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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquin Vargas vs Steven Koslow

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steven Koslow
us

Steven Koslow

“Obi Wan Shinobi / The Pillow”

7-1-0BantamweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquin VargasNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Steven KoslowNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.77
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
5.28
Not available
Takedown accuracy
56%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Joaquin VargasSteven Koslow
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (100%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Vargas53%
Steven Koslow 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Vargas a 53% favorite over Steven Koslow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Joaquin Vargas finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Steven Koslow 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.