Combat Edge Intelligence

Joby Sanchez vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joby SanchezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Mando GutierrezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
36%
Strike accuracy
75%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
64%
Strike defense
50%
0.95
Takedown avg.
1
71%
Takedown accuracy
100%
52%
Takedown defense
40%
0.38
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Joby SanchezMando Gutierrez
1600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (31%)
Submission
6 (67%)
5 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez59%
Joby Sanchez 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 59% favorite over Joby Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joby Sanchez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.

Joby Sanchez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.