Combat Edge Intelligence

Joby Sanchez vs Mark De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach38,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFactory X

What's at stake

Joby Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joby SanchezNow 1630
If they win+15→ 1645
If they lose-17→ 1613
Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
36%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
64%
Strike defense
49%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.54
71%
Takedown accuracy
14%
52%
Takedown defense
40%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Joby SanchezMark De La Rosa
160016501700201820192020

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (31%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark De La Rosa56%
Joby Sanchez 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark De La Rosa a 56% favorite over Joby Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joby Sanchez's way (48%).

Joby Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1615, a 15-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joby Sanchez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mark De La Rosa 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.