Combat Edge Intelligence

Joby Sanchez vs Tateki Matsuda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record15-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Sityodtong

What's at stake

Joby Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tateki Matsuda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joby SanchezNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-20→ 1610
Tateki MatsudaNow 1544
If they win+15→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
36%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
64%
Strike defense
69%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0
71%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
17%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joby SanchezTateki Matsuda
15501600165020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
4 (31%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (38%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Joby Sanchez78%
Tateki Matsuda 22%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Joby Sanchez a 78% favorite over Tateki Matsuda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Joby Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1544, a 86-point edge.

Tateki Matsuda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joby Sanchez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tateki Matsuda 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.