Combat Edge Intelligence

Joby Sanchez vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record28-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'4"
68,0"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Wilson Reis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joby Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joby SanchezNow 1630
If they win+17→ 1647
If they lose-15→ 1615
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-13→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
36%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
64%
Strike defense
56%
0.95
Takedown avg.
5.15
71%
Takedown accuracy
43%
52%
Takedown defense
47%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Joby SanchezWilson Reis
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Submission
13 (46%)
5 (38%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Joby Sanchez70%
Wilson Reis 30%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Joby Sanchez a 70% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Reis's way (47%).

Wilson Reis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1630, a 22-point edge.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joby Sanchez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Joby Sanchez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.