Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger vs Nina Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
64.00Reach64"
115 lbsWeight126 lbs
MMA LabTeamLioness Studio
What's at stake
Nina Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+35→ 1461
If they lose-13→ 1413
If they win+9→ 1598
If they lose-23→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jocelyn Jones-LybargerNina Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nina Nunes72%
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 28%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Nina Nunes a 72% favorite over Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Nina Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1426, a 163-point edge.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger and Nina Nunes share 1 common opponent: Randa Markos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.