Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
64.00ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Randa Markos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1459
If they lose-15→ 1411
If they win+10→ 1567
If they lose-22→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jocelyn Jones-LybargerRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randa Markos70%
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 30%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Randa Markos a 70% favorite over Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Randa Markos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1557 to 1426, a 131-point edge.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger and Randa Markos share 1 common opponent: Nina Nunes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.