Combat Edge Intelligence

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger vs Ye Ji Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record7-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'1"
64.00Reach59"
115 lbsWeight108 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam aom

What's at stake

Ye Ji Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jocelyn Jones-LybargerNow 1426
If they win+28→ 1454
If they lose-20→ 1406
Ye Ji LeeNow 1478
If they win+14→ 1492
If they lose-18→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.34
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jocelyn Jones-LybargerYe Ji Lee
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (14%)
5 (83%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ye Ji Lee81%
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 19%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ye Ji Lee a 81% favorite over Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ye Ji Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1426, a 52-point edge.

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Ye Ji Lee 29%.

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.