Joe Brammer vs Mark Bocek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-1Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Mark Bocek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Brammer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1577
If they lose-10→ 1545
If they win+10→ 1707
If they lose-22→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe BrammerMark Bocek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Bocek73%
Joe Brammer 27%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Bocek a 73% favorite over Joe Brammer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Mark Bocek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1555, a 142-point edge.
Joe Brammer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Brammer finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.