Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Brammer vs Nurbek Abdykadyrov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Brammer
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Joe Brammer

“The Southside Strangler”

7-3-1Lightweight

1555Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-1Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
156 lbsWeight147 lbs
Victory MMATeamJash-Kuch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe BrammerNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.81
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe BrammerNurbek Abdykadyrov
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (71%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov62%
Joe Brammer 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 62% favorite over Joe Brammer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1556), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Brammer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Brammer finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nurbek Abdykadyrov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.