Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Cason vs Karl Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
223 lbsWeight247 lbs
TeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe CasonNow 1602
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
Karl WilliamsNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Joe CasonKarl Williams
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Williams53%
Joe Cason 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 53% favorite over Joe Cason in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Cason's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1600), separated by just 2 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Joe Cason finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.