Joe Charles vs Kevin Rosier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-13-0Record2-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
260 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Kevin Rosier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Joe Charles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1423
If they lose-15→ 1391
If they win+22→ 1459
If they lose-26→ 1411
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe CharlesKevin Rosier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Rosier59%
Joe Charles 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Rosier a 59% favorite over Joe Charles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Kevin Rosier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1437 to 1406, a 31-point edge.
Joe Charles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Charles finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.