Joe Charles vs Sean Rose
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-13-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
260 lbsWeight264 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Joe Charles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1425
If they lose-13→ 1393
If they win+19→ 1491
If they lose-29→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe CharlesSean Rose
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Rose63%
Joe Charles 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 63% favorite over Joe Charles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1406, a 66-point edge.
Joe Charles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Charles finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.