Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Doerksen vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Doerksen
ca

Joe Doerksen

“El Dirte”

51-16-0MiddleweightKOTC

1712Good
Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

51-16-0Record49-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach37,0"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe DoerksenNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
41%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.87
Takedown avg.
2.45
32%
Takedown accuracy
55%
33%
Takedown defense
63%
2.18
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Joe DoerksenJoe Riggs
170020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

10 (20%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
33 (65%)
Submission
7 (15%)
8 (16%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joe Doerksen and Joe Riggs within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1704), separated by just 8 points.

Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.