Joe Doerksen vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
51-16-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamMartinez BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe DoerksenKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus75%
Joe Doerksen 25%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 75% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1716), separated by just 4 points.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.