Joe Doerksen vs Nate Marquardt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
51-16-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach42,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts
What's at stake
Joe Doerksen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nate Marquardt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1722
If they lose-14→ 1698
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-10→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe DoerksenNate Marquardt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Doerksen61%
Nate Marquardt 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Doerksen a 61% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joe Doerksen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1651, a 61-point edge.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.
Joe Doerksen and Nate Marquardt share 2 common opponents: CB Dollaway and C.B. Dollaway.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Loss Guillotine Choke · 2010
Win Punches · 2015