Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Doerksen vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Doerksen
ca

Joe Doerksen

“El Dirte”

51-16-0MiddleweightKOTC

1712Good
Patrick Cote
ca

Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

51-16-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Doerksen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe DoerksenNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+11→ 1739
If they lose-13→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
51%
Strike defense
49%
1.87
Takedown avg.
0.68
32%
Takedown accuracy
21%
33%
Takedown defense
44%
2.18
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Joe DoerksenPatrick Cote
17001750201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

10 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
33 (65%)
Submission
3 (14%)
8 (16%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote66%
Joe Doerksen 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 66% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1712, a 16-point edge.

Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.