Joe Doerksen vs Patrik Kincl
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
51-16-0Record30-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamAll Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe DoerksenPatrik Kincl
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl57%
Joe Doerksen 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 57% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Kincl 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.