Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Doerksen vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Doerksen
ca

Joe Doerksen

“El Dirte”

51-16-0MiddleweightKOTC

1712Good

Tale of the tape

51-16-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Canadian Fighting CentreTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe DoerksenNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Roman KopylovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
51%
Strike defense
52%
1.87
Takedown avg.
1.14
32%
Takedown accuracy
48%
33%
Takedown defense
89%
2.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe DoerksenRoman Kopylov
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
33 (65%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (16%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Kopylov70%
Joe Doerksen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 70% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Doerksen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1712), separated by just 0 points.

Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Doerksen finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.