Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Duffy vs Reza Madadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Duffy
ie

Joe Duffy

“Irish Joe”

16-5-0LightweightUFC

1563Solid
Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73.00Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Reza Madadi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Joe Duffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe DuffyNow 1563
If they win+30→ 1593
If they lose-18→ 1545
Reza MadadiNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-20→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
34%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
55%
Strike defense
67%
0.96
Takedown avg.
3.17
67%
Takedown accuracy
34%
64%
Takedown defense
89%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Joe DuffyReza Madadi
155016001650170020162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
10 (63%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Reza Madadi60%
Joe Duffy 40%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Reza Madadi a 60% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Reza Madadi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1563, a 82-point edge.

Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Duffy finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.

Joe Duffy and Reza Madadi share 1 common opponent: Norman Parke.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision · 2010
Norman Parke
LossDEC · 2015