Joe Duffy vs Reza Madadi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73.00Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Reza Madadi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joe Duffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1596
If they lose-13→ 1564
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-19→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe DuffyReza Madadi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Duffy53%
Reza Madadi 47%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 53% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reza Madadi's way (40%).
Reza Madadi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1577, a 69-point edge.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.
Joe Duffy and Reza Madadi share 1 common opponent: Norman Parke.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.