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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Ellenberger vs Lom-Ali Eskiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record24-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Premier Combat CenterTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe EllenbergerNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Lom-Ali EskievNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.62
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
3.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.06
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Joe EllenbergerLom-Ali Eskiev
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
13 (54%)
4 (27%)
Submission
3 (13%)
3 (20%)
Decision
8 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Lom-Ali Eskiev61%
Joe Ellenberger 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lom-Ali Eskiev a 61% favorite over Joe Ellenberger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Ellenberger's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.

Lom-Ali Eskiev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Joe Ellenberger finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lom-Ali Eskiev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.