Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Giannetti vs Kafiz Sakibekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
42,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
South Shore SportfightingTeamBrave Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe GiannettiKafiz Sakibekov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
8 (50%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov60%
Joe Giannetti 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 60% favorite over Joe Giannetti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Giannetti's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Giannetti finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.