Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Giannetti vs Kurt Pellegrino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
42,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
South Shore SportfightingTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Kurt PellegrinoNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
39%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.94
41%
Strike defense
63%
1
Takedown avg.
2.90
17%
Takedown accuracy
55%
0%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Joe GiannettiKurt Pellegrino
160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
8 (50%)
Submission
10 (63%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Giannetti64%
Kurt Pellegrino 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 64% favorite over Kurt Pellegrino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Giannetti finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.