Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Giannetti vs Lukasz Sajewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
42,0"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
South Shore SportfightingTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Lukasz SajewskiNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
39%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
41%
Strike defense
58%
1
Takedown avg.
1.01
17%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe GiannettiLukasz Sajewski
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
8 (50%)
Submission
8 (53%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Giannetti58%
Lukasz Sajewski 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 58% favorite over Lukasz Sajewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.

Joe Giannetti finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Lukasz Sajewski 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.