Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Giannetti vs Michal Figlak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
42,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
South Shore SportfightingTeamTrojan Free Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Michal FiglakNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
4
39%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
41%
Strike defense
53%
1
Takedown avg.
0.50
17%
Takedown accuracy
13%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe GiannettiMichal Figlak
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michal Figlak59%
Joe Giannetti 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michal Figlak a 59% favorite over Joe Giannetti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Giannetti's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Michal Figlak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Giannetti finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michal Figlak 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.