Joe Gigliotti vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
39.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe GigliottiMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Gigliotti66%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Gigliotti a 66% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1470 vs 1467), separated by just 3 points.
Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Gigliotti finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.