Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Gigliotti vs Ryan Parker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Parker
us

Ryan Parker

“The Predator”

4-5-0MiddleweightPF

1476Average

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
39.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GigliottiNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446
Ryan ParkerNow 1476
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
1.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe GigliottiRyan Parker
14501500201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
4 (57%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Gigliotti60%
Ryan Parker 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Gigliotti a 60% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Parker's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1470 vs 1476), separated by just 6 points.

Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Parker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Gigliotti finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.