Joe Gigliotti vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
39.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Gigliotti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1495
If they lose-23→ 1447
If they win+15→ 1505
If they lose-17→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe GigliottiRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Gigliotti56%
Ryan Parker 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Gigliotti a 56% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Parker's way (47%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1470, a 20-point edge.
Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Gigliotti finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.