Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Hiramoto vs Juancamilo Ronderos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
-Reach64,5"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
GoukikaiTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe HiramotoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Juancamilo RonderosNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
TBD
Strike accuracy
31%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.18
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe HiramotoJuancamilo Ronderos
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Submission
2 (50%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Hiramoto66%
Juancamilo Ronderos 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Hiramoto a 66% favorite over Juancamilo Ronderos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1554), separated by just 5 points.

Joe Hiramoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Juancamilo Ronderos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Hiramoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Juancamilo Ronderos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.