Joe Hurley vs Marcin Bandel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record22-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lion's DenTeamZenith Vera Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe HurleyMarcin Bandel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Bandel68%
Joe Hurley 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Bandel a 68% favorite over Joe Hurley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.
Marcin Bandel enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joe Hurley finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Bandel 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.