Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Jonathan Pearce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Jonathan PearceNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
40%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
55%
Strike defense
54%
2.39
Takedown avg.
5.02
45%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
56%
2.04
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Joe LauzonJonathan Pearce
165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
17 (61%)
Submission
2 (14%)
2 (7%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Pearce63%
Joe Lauzon 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Pearce a 63% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.