Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Kenny Florian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamFlorian Martial Arts Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Kenny FlorianNow 1661
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
55%
Strike defense
64%
2.39
Takedown avg.
2.22
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
55%
Takedown defense
60%
2.04
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Joe LauzonKenny Florian
1650170020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
17 (61%)
Submission
8 (57%)
2 (7%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Florian53%
Joe Lauzon 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 53% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1661), separated by just 12 points.

Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.

Joe Lauzon and Kenny Florian share 2 common opponents: Clay Guida and Takanori Gomi.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2015
Takanori Gomi
WinSubmission · 2010
LossTKO (Punches) · 2017
Clay Guida
WinSubmission · 2009