Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Kyle Bradley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record20-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bradley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+9→ 1658
If they lose-15→ 1634
Kyle BradleyNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-9→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.99
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
55%
Strike defense
59%
2.39
Takedown avg.
0.65
45%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
40%
2.04
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe LauzonKyle Bradley
1550160016501700201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
17 (61%)
Submission
7 (35%)
2 (7%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon68%
Kyle Bradley 32%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 68% favorite over Kyle Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1553, a 96-point edge.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bradley 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.