Joe Lauzon vs Marcin Held
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-15-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamAnkos MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Marcin Held is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-13→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe LauzonMarcin Held
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Held64%
Joe Lauzon 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 64% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marcin Held holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1649, a 43-point edge.
Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.