Joe Lauzon vs Michael Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-15-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1636
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe LauzonMichael Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Johnson56%
Joe Lauzon 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 56% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Lauzon's way (45%).
Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1613, a 36-point edge.
Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.
Joe Lauzon and Michael Johnson share 1 common opponent: Clay Guida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.