Joe Lauzon vs Niko Samsonidse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-15-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe LauzonNiko Samsonidse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Samsonidse71%
Joe Lauzon 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 71% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.