Joe Lauzon vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-15-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1635
If they win+14→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe LauzonSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Lauzon68%
Sam Stout 32%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 68% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1594, a 55-point edge.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.