Joe Merritt vs Patrick Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1466 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe MerrittPatrick Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Rivera52%
Joe Merritt 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Rivera a 52% favorite over Joe Merritt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Merritt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.