Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Moreira vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Moreira
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Joe Moreira

“Macaco”

2-2-0Light Heavyweight

1494Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Joe Moreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe MoreiraNow 1494
If they win+25→ 1519
If they lose-23→ 1471
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe MoreiraKarl Albrektsson
1500155020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joe Moreira and Karl Albrektsson within a point of even.

Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1494, a 15-point edge.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.