Joe Moreira vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1478 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe MoreiraKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Moreira53%
Karl Albrektsson 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Moreira a 53% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karl Albrektsson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1497), separated by just 3 points.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.