Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Moreira vs Terrell Bosen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Moreira
br

Joe Moreira

“Macaco”

2-2-0Light Heavyweight

1494Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
TeamRice Brothers Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe MoreiraNow 1494
If they win+23→ 1517
If they lose-25→ 1469
Terrell BosenNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1471 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe MoreiraTerrell Bosen
1500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrell Bosen57%
Joe Moreira 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrell Bosen a 57% favorite over Joe Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Moreira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1485), separated by just 9 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.