Joe Moriera vs Paul Varelans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record9-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight300 lbs
Team Joe MorieraTeam
What's at stake
Paul Varelans is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Moriera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1503
If they lose-22→ 1455
If they win+15→ 1523
If they lose-17→ 1491
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe MorieraPaul Varelans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Moriera54%
Paul Varelans 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Moriera a 54% favorite over Paul Varelans in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Varelans's way (46%).
Paul Varelans holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1508 to 1477, a 31-point edge.
Paul Varelans 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.