Joe Moriera vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
235 lbsWeight240 lbs
Team Joe MorieraTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Joe Moriera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1503
If they lose-22→ 1455
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter70%
Joe Moriera 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 70% favorite over Joe Moriera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1477, a 32-point edge.
Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.