Joe Pardo
Elo1432DevelopingJoe Pardo vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1432Developing
Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
210 lbsWeight240 lbs
Gracie Jiu-Jitsu AcademyTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Joe Pardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1461
If they lose-19→ 1413
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-29→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe PardoSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter73%
Joe Pardo 27%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 73% favorite over Joe Pardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1432, a 77-point edge.
Joe Pardo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joe Pardo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.