Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Pardo vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pardo

Joe Pardo

4-6-0HeavyweightRITC

1432Developing

Tale of the tape

4-6-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
210 lbsWeight264 lbs
Gracie Jiu-Jitsu AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Joe Pardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe PardoNow 1432
If they win+27→ 1459
If they lose-21→ 1411
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+21→ 1493
If they lose-27→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe PardoSean Rose
1450150020022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
3 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose59%
Joe Pardo 41%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 59% favorite over Joe Pardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1432, a 40-point edge.

Joe Pardo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joe Pardo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.