Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Proctor vs Justin Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team AggressionTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel

What's at stake

Joe Proctor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Justin Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe ProctorNow 1596
If they win+15→ 1611
If they lose-17→ 1579
Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+17→ 1594
If they lose-15→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
37%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
60%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
70%
Takedown defense
27%
1.83
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Joe ProctorJustin Edwards
1600165020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
5 (45%)
Submission
8 (80%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Proctor56%
Justin Edwards 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Proctor a 56% favorite over Justin Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Joe Proctor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1577, a 19-point edge.

Joe Proctor enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Proctor finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Justin Edwards 90%.

Joe Proctor and Justin Edwards share 1 common opponent: Ramsey Nijem.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2012
Ramsey Nijem
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014