Joe Ray vs Khamzat Abaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75.00"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTeam Terranova ASBL
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe RayKhamzat Abaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Abaev60%
Joe Ray 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 60% favorite over Joe Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Ray's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Ray enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Ray finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.
Joe Ray carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.