Joe Riggs vs Joilton Lutterbach
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
49-18-1Record38-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
37,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Soul FightersTeamTeam Peregrino
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe RiggsJoilton Lutterbach
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joilton Lutterbach68%
Joe Riggs 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joilton Lutterbach a 68% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Riggs's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1702), separated by just 2 points.
Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Riggs finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.